Comment du Jour

 

 

 

Syria  shadowed UN General Assembly 

 Presidents, prime ministers, kings and potentates came to New York for the 68th annual UN General Assembly. The ongoing Syrian crisis and the toxic haze of recent chemical weapons use, clouded the diplomatic horizon at the global gathering as delegates confront issues of war, peace and widening humanitarian disasters.

But it’s the General Debate, the key policy speeches over the next two weeks where the headlines are generated, that’s the highlight of the session. While delegates speak with broad brush themes concerning development, disarmament, poverty and peacekeeping, be certain the focus will remain on Syria’s ongoing civil conflict and the regional shock waves reverberating throughout the Middle East from Turkey to Lebanon and Jordan.

By tradition Brazil spoke first followed by the United States. Normally this is a gracious formality between two friendly nations but this year Brazil’s leftist president is irate over alleged U.S. electronic eavesdropping on her government and herself personally. Dilma Rousseff took the unprecedented step to cancel a state visit to Washington, D.C. planned for October.

Brazil a close U.S. Latin American ally and rising economic power has been plainly insulted by the eavesdropping allegations and it looks like political damage control won’t work this late in the process.

Key speakers included Barack Obama,  Argentina’s President Christina Fernandez-Kirchner, Islamic Iran’s Hassan Rouhani, and France’s Francois Hollande.

King Abdullah of Jordan, probably the most erudite and sagacious speaker, as well as the Monarchs of Monaco and Qatar also addressed the delegates.

More controversial leaders, included Zimbabwe’s longtime dictator Robert Mugabe.

Contrary to past years, delegations from 193 UN member states will not meet under the dome in the majestic General Assembly hall with its soaring ceilings, marble rostrums and aura of history but rather in what looks like an IKEA-type building with low ceilings, functional furniture, and a faux marble rostrum more akin to a model UN than to the real deal. Given that the Assembly hall is under renovation, as was the 38-story UN Secretariat building for the past five years, the whole presence looks a bit low budget.

One hundred thirty-one heads of state and government will attend the session as shall sixty foreign ministers. Yet many of the heavy-hitter countries such as the United Kingdom, Canada, China, Germany, Russia, and South Korea were represented by their respective foreign ministers.

There’s the plethora of 174 assembly agenda items to wade through; from hot button political issues, to vital peacekeeping operations, and budgetary items to a gaggle of the usual perfunctory anti-Israel resolutions, and slap on the wrist items ranging from the question of the Falkland Islands to the continuing American economic embargo on Cuba. Many of the agenda items center on the mantra of sustainable development.

After the controversial one year tenure of Serbia’s Vuk Jeremic, this year’s new Assembly President Dr. John Ashe hails from Antigua and Barbuda in the Caribbean.

 

Comment du Jour

Steuben Parade in New York

German/American Festival with a French Flair

The 56th annual German-American Steuben Day parade marched down Fifth Avenue but with a French flair.  Amid the brass bands, and beer garden omm-pah music themed floats the were French groups celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Elysee Treaty, the landmark diplomatic accord signed by Charles de Gaulle and Chancellor Konrad Adenauer, cementing Franco/German peace and reconciliation.

    Float celebrating the Elysee Treaty and French-German Friendship



Thousands of marchers from German/American dance, cultural and sport groups, many in traditional costumes, were joined by groups from Brittany and Alsace among others from Germany and Switzerland.

Parade Marshalls included Warner Roth, a U.S. soccer star from the New York Cosmos, Christian Dinkelacker of the famed brewery, and Harald Leibrecht, the German Parliament's Coordinator of Transatlantic Affairs.  

The annual Steuben Day Parade honors the memory of Prussian General Frederich von Steuben, who came to America during the Revolution and played an instrumental role in organizing and training troops for General George Washington's infant Continental Army.

The Parade has become a September tradition in New York along with the Oktoberfest in Central Park adjoining the parade route.

Comment du Jour

Hungary: the nexus of history and commerce in Central Europe

BUDAPEST — I chanced upon Ronald Reagan walking towards Freedom Square here in Budapest. Actually his bronze statue, set in a brisk stride, larger than life, and facing a Soviet war memorial, sums up so many of the political emotions, poignant memories, and ghosts which still swirl round the Hungarian capital even in the bright Summer sunshine.

Budapest of course has seen darker days so it’s all the better to celebrate freedom.

Hungary remains one of the few former Soviet satellites states to proudly honor the U.S. President’s role in what became the extraordinary peaceful liberation of Central Europe in 1989.

Though Ronald Reagan never actually visited Hungary, his policies towards the former Soviet Union triggered the momentous political changes of Autumn 1989.

But 1989 is now a generation ago. I remind myself that the generations of young people who flock to Budapest for fun and frolic were not even born when Hungary became the first of the East Bloc regimes to open its border to Austria in summer that year. The symbolic and very real opening of the infamous Iron Curtain would trigger a political tsunami which swept the socialist so-called people’s republics into the dustbin of history.

The generation born in 1989 knows only a very fleeting memory of the old regime; theirs fortunately was a happier time. Hungary regained its sovereignty, established a parliamentary democracy, and integrated itself into the European institutions which today remain a bulwark and insurance policy for its continued freedom and prosperity. Hungary joined NATO in 1999 and the European Union in 2004.

Indeed by the late 1990’s Hungary was prospering economically emerging as a nexus for foreign investment and trade with Europe, the USA and the Far East. But bouts of a Socialist government combined with the global recession starting in 2008 has noticeably jolted and jarred the good times of a decade ago. While the Socialists, noted for corruption, were massively voted out by the current center-right coalition in 2010, the country still is paying the price for the profligate spending of their tenure.

Significantly the current government has made an early repayment of a $3 billion IMF loan it owed from 2008.

It hurts me to say, but Budapest, this magnificent capital on the Danube looks a bit more tattered and down than it was when we last visited a decade ago. Naturally the economic downturn plays a big role; while growth rates a decade ago averaged 5 percent, today they are anemic inching back towards just under one percent. Unemployment is high at ten percent despite what seems like massive public works projects just about everywhere even in front of the majestic Parliament building.

Hungary’s central geographic location, skilled workforce and still relatively low wages give the country a genuine comparative advantage for foreign investment. Investment from the United States, Germany, France and Japan is central to Hungary’s open export- oriented economy. Since 1989, Hungary has hosted $98 billion in direct foreign investment.

Germany’s AUDI automaker has expanded its factories in Gyor with a billion dollar plus new facility to ramp up car production from 33,000 today to a projected 125,000. French firms number 350 and have invested more than $13 billion. American investment plays a central role with more than 200 companies. Much of Hungary’s production is exported duty-free within the European Union.

Equally in 2012, U.S.. two-way trade with Hungary stood at $4.8 billion.

Hungary’s fractious but free political atmosphere is already clouded by parliamentary elections scheduled for next spring. The current conservative populist Fidesz/Civic Union government led by Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a former soccer player but an equally tough player on the political pitch, is prone to rhetorical flourishes. Recently Orban stated that despite its political freedom of the past twenty years, Hungary remained a “vulnerable and exploited” country. Such nationalist tones have not played well with much of the foreign business community.

Indeed 1956 is a long time ago too. The indelible events of October and the Hungarian Revolution against the occupying Soviets, remain a political bellwether in a country defined by its proud and independent personality. The reformist Prime Minister Imre Nagy tried to pull socialist Hungary from the bear’s grip, only to be slammed back by a massive counter attack in November. Hungary would remain communist until 1989.

Those shadows still linger on Budapest’s streets and boulevards where the aspirations, the ghosts, and the memory of that brief whiff of freedom in 1956, have never quite disappeared. Just across from Parliament there’s a small monument with a bridge on which Imre Nagy stands, looking at the parliament but suspended in time as if wondering what would happen. Just down the same street, Ronald Reagan strides confidently towards Freedom Square.